Oncotarget

Research Perspectives:

The goal of geroscience is life extension

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Oncotarget. 2021; 12:131-144. https://doi.org/10.18632/oncotarget.27882

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Mikhail V. Blagosklonny _

Abstract

Mikhail V. Blagosklonny1

1 Roswell Park Cancer Institute, Buffalo, NY 14263, USA

Correspondence to:

Mikhail V. Blagosklonny,email: [email protected],
[email protected]

Keywords: aging; longevity; rapamycin; mTOR; metformin

Received: December 23, 2020     Accepted: January 13, 2021     Published: February 02, 2021

Copyright: © 2021 Blagosklonny. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 3.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

ABSTRACT

Although numerous drugs seemingly extend healthspan in mice, only a few extend lifespan in mice and only one does it consistently. Some of them, alone or in combination, can be used in humans, without further clinical trials.


Introduction

“Although we do not know everything about aging, we now know enough to start its pharmacologic suppression using clinically approved drugs.” Published in 2010, these opening words of the paper entitled “Increasing healthy lifespan by suppressing aging in our lifetime: preliminary proposal” are still relevant today [1]. The proposal was based on hyperfunction theory that aging is a continuation of development, driven in part by growth-promoting pathways, such as mTOR [2]. Hyperfunction (inappropriate activation) of these signaling pathways directly drive all age-related diseases, which are manifestations of aging. We just need clinically available inhibitors (drugs) of these signaling pathways to extend both healthspan and lifespan, by slowing aging.

Here I discuss a practical approach as to how to make the current generation of adults live longer and healthier, without conducting lifelong randomized clinical trials. Even if such trials would be started, only the next generation may benefit. But such clinical trials are not needed anymore. For practical purposes, it is both necessary and sufficient that a drug consistently and significantly extend lifespan in mice (and other mammals, if tested) and be already approved for any indication in humans. Given that no proof of life extension in humans (and other long-lived mammals) can be available in our lifetime, we need strong evidence in rodents. I will discuss that the requirement of life extension must be strict. A mere extension of healthspan is not enough: drugs that fail to extend lifespan in mice will fail to extend lifespan in humans, if used as a monotherapy. Yet, in rational combinations with life-extending drugs, “healthspan-only” drugs may extend lifespan further. Here I will review drugs that extend lifespan and healthspan in mammals (e.g., rapamycin), in contrast to those that may affect only healthspan without lifespan (e.g., resveratrol), and discuss how to proceed with clinical application of lifespan-extending drugs.

Failure of anti-oxidants

The goal of longevity research is life extension. Instead, most studies are focused on life-shortening. Many things can shorten lifespan without causing normal aging. For example, car accidents shorten lifespan, but they do not cause aging. Knockout of antioxidant enzymes can shorten lifespan. But antioxidants do not extend lifespan [312]. Furthermore, antioxidants increase mortality in humans [1317]. Clinical trials of antioxidants have been terminated because of increased cancer incidence [1317]. In agreement, antioxidants promote cancer in mice [18, 19]. Yet, thousands of publications describe mechanisms of life extension by the exact same antioxidants that do not extend lifespan. To study mechanisms of life extension, there must be life extension at least.

Certainly, reactive oxygen species (ROS) cause molecular damage, and this damage would eventually kill the organism. But no organism lives long enough to die from accumulation of molecular damage because hyperfunctional (in part, mTOR-driven) aging terminates life first [9]. If artificially accelerated by knocking out genes, molecular damage may become life limiting. But in normal animals and humans, it is not. We cannot extend life by targeting a non-life-limiting process.

The goal of geroscience

The goal of geroscience is extension of lifespan by extending healthspan. Standard medical interventions can prolong lifespan without extending healthspan (e.g., using a ventilator in comatose patient) but anti-aging interventions increase lifespan by slowing aging and thus delaying age-related diseases (extending healthspan). One of the notions of hyperfunction theory is that age-related diseases can be prevented and treated by slowing down aging with anti-aging drugs, such as rapamycin, as discussed in 2006–2012 [2, 2022] and later named the geroscience hypothesis [2326].

Lifespan vs healthspan

Healthspan is a period of life without age-related diseases [27]. It is disease-free survival. (Note: A patient may view healthspan as a symptom-free survival, a subjective well-being, but this definition is not used in animal studies.) Since animals and humans die from age-related diseases, an increase in healthspan is expected to increase lifespan. For example, in centenarians, healthspan is increased (this is why they are centenarians) [28]. Calorie restriction (CR) delays diseases and thus extends lifespan in rodents [29]. So healthspan is a surrogate for lifespan.

However, in comparison with lifespan, healthspan is difficult to measure, especially in animals [27]. The end of healthspan is subjective, because pre-diseases progress slowly towards diseases (Figure 1A: gray zone). Besides, it’s not one disease but the sum of all diseases. In mice, diseases are difficult to diagnose until animal death. Given this, why not then measure healthspan and lifespan simultaneously?

Extension of healthspan extends lifespan.

Figure 1: Extension of healthspan extends lifespan. (A) Healthspan is the period of life without diseases. Diseases (black color) terminate lifespan. Subclinical aging (white color) progresses to pre-diseases (gray) and diseases (black). X axis: age. Y axis: loss of health (a sum of diseases) in log scale. (B) Longevity intervention slows aging and extends healthspan, automatically extending lifespan. (C) Unrealistic scenario “Healthspan without lifespan”. Compressed morbidity (black). Either diseases progress instantly, or animals die from “health” rather than from diseases.

So why has healthspan become so popular in animal studies? The reason is that only a few drugs were shown to extend lifespan in mammals. Other drugs seemingly increase healthspan but do not extend lifespan. This is considered an acceptable and even desirable effect [27]. But it is not. Increased healthspan must automatically increase lifespan (Figure 1A and 1B), if healthspan represents good health. Animals, including humans, do not die from good health, they die from age-related diseases. If diseases are delayed, an animal will live longer. (Symptomatic treatment (e.g., opioids for pain) and placebo may prolong subjective well-being of humans without extending lifespan, but such treatments are not a subject of geroscience).

Consider a scenario in which lifespan is not increased, while healthspan is increased. To keep lifespan constant, while increasing healthspan, diseases must be compressed (Figure 1C): start later but kill faster. For example, in this scenario, cancer kills an organism in a matter of minutes, instead of months. This is impossible (Note: One apparent exception is the illusion of disease compression in centenarians due to poor diagnostics and lack of medical treatment at the oldest age, as discussed later). Otherwise, an increase of healthspan must increase at least median lifespan (Figure 1B).

So how is it possible that some senolytics, NAD boosters and resveratrol, increase healthspan without lifespan? The simplest explanation is that they do not increase healthspan at all, because such studies use irrelevant or ambiguous markers of health. Ambiguous parameters can be associated with either good or bad health, depending on the underlying cause. For example, similar changes in insulin signaling are associated with either slow or fast aging, depending on the mTOR activity [30].

The second explanation is that some diseases are not deadly, so that their treatment does not extend lifespan but improve quality of life. Yet, healthspan should not be measured by non-deadly diseases only. After all, aging is an exponential increase of death with age and should be measured by deadly diseases.

Third, some age-dependent alterations are not life-limiting, simply because hyperfunctional aging terminates life first. For example, accumulation of mitochondrial DNA mutations, telomere shortening, NAD+ depletion do not reach lethal threshold during animal life time (see Blagosklonny MV. When longevity drugs do not increase longevity: Unifying development-driven and damage-induced theories of aging, 2021, in press). So, their improvement is not translated in life extension. They may become life-limiting either when they are accelerated or when normal aging is decelerated. For example, telomerase-knockout mice die young from bone marrow failure. In such mice, testosterone extends lifespan by extending telomeres [31]. But, testosterone does not extend life in normal animals. As a hypothetical possibility, treatment of non-limiting deteriorations with “healthspan” drugs may extend lifespan, when life-limiting aging is sufficiently decelerated and an animal (or human) lives long enough to die from this deterioration. This is an exciting possibility because then “helthspan without lifespan drugs” may increase life even further, as will be discussed in detail (Blagosklonny MV. When longevity drugs do not increase longevity: Unifying development-driven and damage-induced theories of aging, 2021, in press).

If a drug does not increase lifespan in mammals, there is no reason to think it would do so in humans

Even if a drug DOES increase lifespan in mice and other mammals, gerontologists are still skeptical that it will work in humans. Consider an example. Calorie restriction (CR) extends lifespan in mice, rats and even monkeys [32, 33]. CR must extend lifespan in humans because it delays all age-related diseases in humans [29]. Still it is debated whether it would extend life in humans. Some gerontologists think that it will not [34]. Imagine, if CR would not increase lifespan in any mammal including mice. Would we then think that it may mysteriously extend life in humans? No. But then why are drugs that do not extend life in mice still being considered to extend life in humans. To reasonably expect that a drug will extend lifespan in humans, a drug must extend medium and maximum lifespan in genetically heterogeneous mice, multiple strains of mice, and cancer-prone mice. (Note: Cancer is delayed when aging is slow. For example, cancer is rare in long-lived naked mole rats and centenarians).

Resveratrol

Three studies in mice failed to show life extension by resveratrol [3537]. In one of them, resveratrol improved health without extending lifespan [35]. Similarly, pharmacological doses of resveratrol delayed vascular aging but did not extend lifespan in Wistar rats [38]. In 2006 it was shown that resveratrol increased mean lifespan in mice on a high-calorie diet [39]. A high-calorie diet (HCD) shortened mean lifespan by increasing early death, and resveratrol prevented that shortening but did not extend lifespan beyond the control standard diet [39]. So, resveratrol may reverse life-shortening caused by HCD, but does not extend normal lifespan.

Rapamycin

Since 2009, dozens of studies showed that rapamycin extends medium and maximum lifespan in both males and females in all strains of normal mice tested as well as in some cancer-prone and short-lived mice [36, 4070]. Rapamycin extended life when was given at old or young age, constantly with food, intermittently, or even transiently. In some short-lived mutant mice, rapamycin more than doubled lifespan [50, 54, 60, 61, 64]. The higher the dose, the longer lifespan [57, 61, 70]. In one exception that emphasizes the rule, rapamycin slightly shortened lifespan in artificial mice lacking telomerase that failed to grow and die young but not from aging [68]. As predicted by theory [2], rapamycin, which slows growth and cell proliferation, will be unfavorable during developmental growth in mice that fail to grow. mTOR drives growth early in life and aging (a continuation of growth) later in life. In fact, in the same study, rapamycin dramatically extended lifespan in normal parental mice [68].

Curcumin

Curcumin, fed to mice beginning at 12 months of age, did not extend lifespan in male F1 hybrid mice [71]. Also, in genetically heterogeneous mice, curcumin administered beginning at 4 months of age had no effect on lifespan of male or female mice [37]. Thus, curcumin never was shown to extend lifespan in any mammals.

Quercetin

As shown in 1982, dietary supplement of 0.1% quercetin significantly decreased lifespan of mice [72]. This disappointing result is still non-disputed. In a second study, quercetin, fed beginning at 12 months of age, did not extend lifespan in male F1 hybrid mice [71]. However, a senolytic combination of quercetin with dasatinib (Q + D combination) increased median lifespan by 6.3% (Figure 6I in reference [73]) in C57BL/6 mice [73]. Q alone was not tested in this study [73].

(Note: Instead of medium lifespan, the abstract lists post-treatment survival, increased by 36%.) The treatment was started at age 24–27 months and administered every 2 weeks by oral gavage for 3 consecutive days.

Spermidine

Spermidine is an abundant natural polyamine contained in all organisms and human food. Spermidine did not extend median and maximum lifespan of the middle-aged male Sprague-Dawley rats (although spermidine increased “healthspan”) [74]. In C57BL/6J wild-type female mice, spermidine increased medium (but not maximum) lifespan by approximately 10% when given either life-long or late-life [75].

NAD boosters

Nicotinamide riboside (NR), a NAD+ booster, extends lifespan in mice by 4.7% (marginally statistically significant P = 0.034) [76]. This modest result is the best so far. In another study, nicotinamide (NAM), at low and high doses, did not extend lifespan in male C57BL/6J mice on standard and high-fat diets [77]. Noteworthy, NAD boosters dramatically increase lifespan in short-lived mice with some progeroid syndromes [7880]. However, these mice die young not from normal aging but from pathologies such as liver fibrosis and bone marrow failure [78]. In contrast, there was no benefit of NR or NMN in normal mice [78, 80].

Berberine

In one study, berberine extended lifespan in C57BL/6J male mice [81]. Of note, berberine inhibits the mTOR pathway in cell culture [82].

Fisetin

In old mice, fisetin slightly extended lifespan, but only a few mice were used in the study (Figure 5A in reference [83]).

Metformin

The effect of metformin on lifespan in mice depends on strain, age, sex and other conditions. For example, in inbred 129/Sv mice, metformin (100 mg/kg in drinking water) decreased the mean lifespan of male mice (by 13.4%) and increased the mean lifespan of female mice (by 4.4%) [84]. In female SHR mice, metformin increased mean lifespan by 37.8%, and maximum life span by 10.3% [85]. If started early in life, metformin increased lifespan in female SHR mice [86]. In another study, lifespan was not affected by metformin alone but was decreased by a combination of metformin with SRT1720, a sirtuin1-activator [87]. In 129/Sv mice, neonatal metformin treatment at the 3rd, 5th and 7th days after birth extended lifespan in male, but not in female, mice [88].

A famous study entitled “Metformin improves healthspan and lifespan in mice” actually shows that “low” dose of metformin (0.1% w/w in diet) slightly extended lifespan in C57BL/6 male mice, while a higher dose (1% w/w in diet) considerably decreased lifespan [89]. In genetically heterogeneous mice, however, metformin (0.1% w/w in diet) did not extend lifespan [90]. In this study, metformin combined with rapamycin (14 ppm) robustly extended lifespan, but treatment with rapamycin alone was not tested in the same study [90]. In two studies, metformin increased lifespan in cancer-prone HER-2/neu transgenic mice [91, 92]. In conclusion, metformin consistently increases lifespan in short-lived, cancer-prone mice. In normal mice, effects of metformin are inconsistent, ranging from life extension to life shortening.

17-alpha-estradiol

(17aE2) robustly extended both median and maximal lifespan, but only in males [90, 93].

Acarbose

The alpha-glucosidase inhibitor, acarbose, increased median longevity in males and 90th percentile lifespan in both sexes [90, 9395]. Acarbose blocks digestion of complex carbohydrates. So, the treatment is an equivalent of carbohydrate-free diets such as ketogenic diets in humans. Low carb-diets may increase lifespan and can be used in combination with rapamycin [96].

Enalapril

Angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors (ACEi), such as enalapril, lisinopril and ramipril, and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB) such as losartan, telmisartan and valsartan are widely used to treat hypertension. Both ACE inhibitors and ARBs are commonly used in patients with hypertension, heart failure, coronary artery disease, diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD). In 1993, it was shown that enalapril, at various doses, increased survival in mice. The authors speculated that enalapril must decrease oxidative damage, as required by dogma [97]. Losartan and enalapril prolonged lifespan in Wistar rats. All control rats died by the age of 28 months. In the treatment groups, 62% of rats were alive. Mean survival was increased by 21% and 19% for enalapril and losartan respectively (p < 0.001) [98]. Enalapril treatment increased lifespan in Wistar rats on standard and palatable hyper lipidic diets [99]. Ramipril (ACEi) in combination (but not alone) with Simvastatin extended lifespan of long-lived, B6C3F1 male mice [100].

Interpretation of mouse longevity data

Although hundreds of recent reviews proclaim a wide arsenal of “emerging” drugs that “promise” to extend healthspan and lifespan, these drugs either do not extend lifespan in mice, or data is not sufficient. For example, resveratrol does not extend lifespan in mammals in any study [3538]. In one study, it reverses life-shortening caused by HCD [39]. But reversal of life-shortening does not imply anti-aging activity. (Consider an analogy. In animals dying prematurely from type 1 diabetes, insulin therapy extends lifespan. But insulin cannot extend normal lifespan. Insulin is a pro-aging rather than anti-aging hormone.) Similarly, numerous flavonoids including curcumin and quercetin were not shown to prolong lifespan in mice and rats.

One drug, rapamycin, stands out [101]. Rapamycin extends lifespan in all numerous studies in normal mice and doubles lifespan in several short-lived mice [50, 54, 60, 61, 64]. Unlike other drugs discussed here, rapamycin is a gerostatic, a drug that decelerates cellular conversion to senescence in cell culture [102104]. It has only one molecular target, the mTOR complex 1. The mTORC1 network is involved in aging and age-related diseases. Cellular senescence and organismal aging are a continuation of growth, which is driven in part by the mTOR pathway [2]. It was predicted that rapamycin must extend lifespan before it was shown in any animal [105].

In comparison, resveratrol has no relevant molecular target at least in mammals, meaning that it has all possible targets, especially at super-physiological concentrations [106], including mTOR at cytotoxic doses [107, 108] and topoisomerase, a target for highly cytotoxic chemotherapy [109]. Similarly, flavonoids and metformin have multiple potential targets.

Metformin extends lifespan in some cancer-prone mice and two normal strains, depending on doses, sex and schedules. Its life-extending effects are limited by toxicity at higher doses that may even shorten lifespan. However, clinical doses of metformin are well-tolerated in humans. Retrospective and prospective data of numerous studies indicate that metformin decreases all-cause mortality in patients taking it for many different diseases [110112]. It also decreases incidence of cancer, when taking for other indications. Potential benefits of a metformin/rapamycin combination were suggested [113]. Yet, a combination of metformin and rapamycin should be re-tested to include a rapamycin-alone group.

ACE inhibitors (ACEi) decrease all-cause mortality in patients with various diseases [114116]. Although, many studies found life-extending benefits of ACEi but not ARB, some studies showed equal benefits of ACEi and ARB [117]. Animal studies showed consistent life extension from ACEi alone [9799] or in combination with statins [100]. Disruption of the Angiotensin II type 1 receptor increases median and maximum lifespan in mice by 26% [118].

A combination of rapamycin, with metformin, aspirin, ACEi and other drugs was discussed in detail [113].

Gerostatics

Gerostatics are drugs that decelerate conversion to cell senescence. Gerostatics are also cytostatics, drugs that decelerate cell proliferation [119]. In contrast to senolytics, they do not kill senescent or any other types of cells. Gerostatics have been predicted by hyperfunction theory of aging [2]. Rapamycin and other rapalogs (e.g., everolimus), inhibitors of the mTOR kinase (known as pan-mTOR inhibitors), S6K, PI3K, MEK and MDM-2 all target growth- and senescence-promoting networks and decelerate cellular senescence in cell culture [102104, 120122]. Although their gerostatic properties were described more than decade ago, they have not been tested on life extension in mammals. A MEK inhibitor is a clinically available drug and extends lifespan in Drosophila [123], but its effects on longevity were not tested in mice.

I expect that a combination of low doses of pan-mTOR and MEK inhibitors with high doses of rapamycin would extend life further compared with rapamycin alone. That could be the next important advance in the anti-aging field since the discovery of anti-aging properties of rapamycin.

Surrogate lifespan trials in humans

In humans, it is nearly impossible to conduct life-long clinical trials to measure lifespan. In surrogate trials, anti-aging drugs can be validated by treating and preventing age-related diseases [21]. Aging is a sum of all age-related diseases, which terminate life. If all diseases are delayed, then lifespan must increase. In other words, if healthspan is increased, lifespan is increased automatically. Anti-aging drugs such as rapamycin are more effective for disease prevention than for their treatment [2], as emphasized for cancer prevention [20]. While treating one age-related disease, an anti-aging drug will delay progression of other diseases (e.g., cancer and Alzheimer’s disease) and syndromes (e.g., frailty) and cosmetic appearance (e.g., grey hair and winkled skin) [21].

In humans, lifespan can be increased without increasing healthspan by standard medical interventions [124]. In a comatose patient after stroke, a ventilator extends lifespan without increasing healthspan. For example, defibrillation may resurrect a patient, extending lifespan by decades without affecting healthspan. Anti-aging interventions increase lifespan, primarily by increasing healthspan. For example, if stroke is delayed, lifespan will be increased. An increased healthspan will not compress morbidity, as erroneously suggested by some gerontologists. (Note: compression of morbidity can only be achieved by denying the very elderly the best medical care, which otherwise expands the morbidity phase in lesser elderly people. This is observed in centenarians who are not even diagnosed with diseases, even less treated.) The greatest achievement of modern medicine is dramatic extension of lifespan by expanding the morbidity phase, not by compressing it.

Anti-aging drugs are expected primarily work by expanding healthspan [124, 125]. But the morbidity period will be extended (decompressed) too, because disease progression will be decelerated.

Validation of anti-aging drugs and TAME

Based on the notion that aging is the sum of all age-related diseases, it was proposed to validate anti-aging drugs by treating age-related diseases. Published in 2009, the abstract of an article entitled “Validation of anti-aging drugs by treating age-related diseases” stated: “Humans die from age-related diseases, which are deadly manifestations of the aging process. In order to extend lifespan, an anti-aging drug must delay age-related diseases. Once a drug is used for treatment of any one chronic disease, its effect against other diseases (atherosclerosis, cancer, prostate enlargement, osteoporosis, insulin resistance, Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s diseases, age-related macular degeneration) may be evaluated in the same group of patients. If the group is large, then the anti-aging effect could be validated in a couple of years.” [21]. So, anti-aging drugs were suggested to be validated in patients with diseases, rather than in healthy individuals [21]. Specifically, it was discussed for metformin and rapamycin [21]. This proposal has been implemented by Nir Barzilai and others in a placebo-controlled, randomized, double-blind, clinical trial the “Targeting Aging with Metformin” or “TAME”, which enrolls patients with any age-related disease to determine whether metformin is effective at delaying the incidence of a composite of multiple age-related diseases, geriatric syndromes and functional health [126].

The origin of geroscience

By 2006, clinical data became available for retrospective analysis of effects of metformin and rapamycin on several age-related diseases [2, 21]. The concept of treatment of age-related diseases was discussed in “Prevention of cancer by inhibiting aging” [20] and “Prospective treatment of age-related diseases by slowing down aging” [22]. The concept of treatment of age-related diseases by slowing down aging [22] was later named the geroscience hypothesis [23, 24, 25, 26]. The geroscience hypothesis, however, is incomplete, because it assumes that aging is caused by molecular damage. Aging is obligatory, whereas diseases are not [127]. So, the mechanistic link remains elusive. According to the geroscience hypothesis, aging is a risk factor for diseases [127]. According to hyperfunction theory, in contrast, aging is a sum of all age-related diseases, not their risk factors. The molecular basis of aging is hyperfunction (unnecessary activation) of signaling pathways, such as mTOR, which drive diseases directly. Aging and diseases are two sides of the same coin: diseases are manifestations of aging.

Senolytics

By the strict definition proposed by Kirkland and Tchkonia, senolytics should prolong life specifically by killing senescent cells, not by off-target mechanisms [128]. But strictly speaking, such drugs do not exist yet [Note: As an example of off-target mechanisms, at high doses, some “senolytics” inhibit mTOR.]

Although a wide variety of compounds are called senolytics, most of them do not extend lifespan by any mechanism in any mammal. Currently, only two senolytics, namely fisetin [83] and a combination of quercetin with dasatinib (Q + D combination) [73] showed life extension in mice. At the time of writing, life extension was shown in just one study for each of them, though, the fisetin-treated group included just a few mice [83]. However, even these modest results are important, because these drugs are clinically available. Especially, fisetin and quercetin are available as supplements and have already been safely taken by millions of people before the term senolytic was even coined. Dasatinib is a prescription drug approved in 2006 and is safe for human use. A combination of Q + D was tested in humans and, in doses that decrease numbers of senescent cells, they were safe with minimal side effects [129].

Life extension in mammals and safety in humans

Kirkland and Tchkonia, who have developed these senolytics, warned: “Unless and until such clinical trials are completed and demonstrate safety, tolerability, target engagement and effectiveness, candidate senolytics should not be prescribed or used by general patient populations. They should only be administered in the course of carefully monitored clinical trials.” [130].

Although well intended, this warning is unjustified. Fisetin and quercetin have already been sold as supplements for many years. Why should patients stop taking them? Just because F and D were recently shown to prolong life and health in mice? In Kirkland et al., outstanding work, fisetin and a combination of Q plus D prolonged life in mice, not shortened life. Why then should the entire generation of the elderly stop using fisetin, and Q plus D until clinical trials prove that they extend life in humans, and, even more, by a specific mechanism?

The same is applicable to any other drugs that have been used in humans before any studies showed life-extension in animals: rapamycin, metformin and ACEi.

Ironically, some mouse research warns of the metabolic dangers of rapamycin and a ketogenic diet, even though these treatments have been safely used in humans for decades. But these metabolic effects are life-extending in mice, which live longer and healthier. In any case, if data in animals contradict human data, it means that an animal model is irrelevant. Animal models are most needed in the absence of human data. Thus, it is lifespan data that is crucial in mice, because it is unavailable in humans. In humans, the proof of life extension is practically impossible in a short term. Even life extension by calorie restriction (and any diet) was not proven (or disproven) in humans despite decades of research. In forthcoming clinical trials, we cannot expect proof of life extension, only improved health, at doses that do not cause side effects in humans. (Note: Individual anti-aging doses of rapamycin are side-effect-free by definition: the highest dose that is tolerated by a patient). Healthspan and side-effects in humans. Lifespan in mice. Not vice versa.

How to proceed

We have one life to live and cannot wait for results in others, if we want to live longer ourselves. Although placebo-controlled, randomized, life-long clinical trials should be started, we may only know the answer in a few decades. However, such trials will not even be started, at least not soon. But, fortunately, they are not needed.

Some life-extending drugs are already approved for human use: supplements (fisetin, vitamin B3 and its analogs), over-the-counter medicine (aspirin) and prescription drugs (rapamycin, metformin, dasatinib, enilopril). Do we need to wait for results of future clinical trials or must we simply follow the law? Prescription drugs are allowed by law to be prescribed and used under doctor supervision. That is so simple.

The law is already strict towards rapamycin and metformin, by requiring prescription. In comparison, alcohol and tobacco do not require prescription and doctor supervision. Smoking has no health benefit and dramatically shortens lifespan, accelerating all diseases. While smoking causes cancer, rapamycin prevents it, including smoke-caused lung cancer. Is it then paradoxical that alcohol and tobacco are sold without prescriptions, whereas rapamycin and metformin are not.

Metformin and rapamycin are FDA-approved prescription drugs that are safe by FDA definition. All necessary clinical trials for safety were conducted more than 20 years ago, and then these drugs were used by millions. Hundreds of new trials were conducted later because applications of rapamycin and its analog everolimus were constantly extending. Now is time for longevity clinics. This is the last chance for the current generation to live longer [131].

For example, rapamycin-based personalized treatment can be designed as Phase 1 B clinical trial, with dose escalation to reach dose-limiting side-effects. Then, rapamycin can be used at a lower dose without side effects. Thus, anti-aging treatment with rapamycin can be without side effects by definition. This is important to emphasize. Whatever off-target side effects anti-aging drugs may have, they will be avoided. Treatment is highly individual, because doses of rapamycin must be individual: the highest dose that does not cause side effect in a particular patient. (Note: Blood levels of rapamycin vary widely in different people at the same dose). Such trial-like treatments require no funding, because they can be paid for by participants. If we want to live longer, we have no choice, but to use drugs such as rapamycin, which extends life in short-lived mammals and is approved for humans use. After all, humans are mammals, and there is no reason to think that they will not work in humans.

Disclaimer

This review is intended for a professional audience. This article does not represent medical advice or recommendations to patients. The media should exercise caution and seek expert medical advice for interpretation, when referring to this article. Medical doctors interested in this topic may e-mail the author at [email protected] or follow me at Twitter @Blagosklonny.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

I thank James McCubrey, Dennis Mangan, Anar Isman and others for helpful comments.

CONFLICTS OF INTEREST

Authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.

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